Brazil’s Horrible Recession Keeps Getting Worse, and There’s No End in Sight

By: Orlando Avendaño - @OrlvndoA - Mar 8, 2017, 9:33 am
Brazil's Horrible Recession
In 2016, Brazil’s GDP returned to size in 2010, when former president Lula left office. (Capital)

EspañolBrazil is undergoing it’s worst recession in history according to new statistics that were released this week.

Data provided by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IGBE) revealed that the GDP has dropped by 4.4 percent.

“It is as if starting from that year we had lost all subsequent growth,” IGBE Spokesperson Rebeca Palls said.

In 2016, Brazil’s GDP returned to its 2010 size, right after former President Luis Lula da Silva left office, and has continued on a downward spiral ever since.

In addition to economic contraction and a decreasing GDP, the service sector also suffered a 2.7-percent decline. Officials said this is a serious, fundamental concern because the service sector represents 70 percent of the total economy.

Investment fell 10.2 percent in 2016, a drop economists link to Brazil’s suffering interest rates.

Carlos Kawall, Safra Bank Chief Economist in Sao Paulo, said that the country will see zero growth in 2017, and even beyond that.

“We do not expect to see a big recovery this year,” he said. “We will have to wait until 2018.”

Source: Reuters

Orlando Avendaño Orlando Avendaño

Orlando Avendaño is a PanAm Post intern who resides in Caracas, Venezuela, where he studies social communication at Andrés Bello Catholic University. Follow @OrlvndoA.

The Cuban Referendum that Could Bring True Democracy to the Island

By: José Azel - Mar 7, 2017, 6:54 pm

                                          In memory of Oswaldo Payá We take it for granted that all peoples aspire to be free, but the idea of individual freedoms is not universally accepted. Believers of totalitarian and authoritarian regimes across the world hold that a dictatorial approach to governing is moral, just, and necessary. Some offer that a developing nation needs a strong-man rule to effectively promote economic growth without the aggravations of democracy. Others feel authoritarian rule is necessary to assure law and order. Others embrace monarchies, realms, or other hereditary forms of governments to protect the traditions and customs of their people. Others believe that their church and government are one and the same and that their religious beliefs are above a selfish desire for freedom. Marxists sacrifice individual freedoms in the altar of collectivism. If that is their well-informed choice, these true believers in single-party permanent rule, should be free to be unfree — preferably on another planet. But, this begs the question of how should a society decide on its form of government. The dictatorial answer is to hold on to power indefinitely as we see in totalitarian states like North Korea and Cuba. The democratic answer, of course, is by free, fair, competitive, multiparty and frequent elections. This is why I find the Cuba Decide Plebiscite project, spearheaded by Rosa Maria Payá Acevedo such a refreshing proposition after nearly six decades of Castro rule in Cuba. Rosa Maria is the youthful, highly articulate, daughter of slain Cuban democracy activist Oswaldo Payá, recipient of the European Parliament’s prestigious Sakharov Prize and five-time nominee for the Nobel Peace Prize. Rosa Maria, as president of the Latin American Youth Network for Democracy, is continuing her father’s work to foster democracy in that tragic Island. The Cuba Decide Plebiscite initiative proposes to answer by a direct “Yes” or “No” vote of the Cuban people one basic, but transcendental question: Do you agree with the convening of free, fair, and pluralistic elections, by exercising freedom of speech; and organizing freely in political parties and social organizations with full plurality? It would be naive to expect that the Castro regime would agree to hold such a binding referendum. Yet, at a minimum, promoting the plebiscite provides a strategic tool to encourage a highly focused political debate and public dialogue both in Cuba and in international forums. It puts the spotlight on the fact that it is the people’s prerogative, and no one else’s, to decide their form of government. Few would disagree with the plebiscites’ central postulate that Cubans must be free to decide their future. Even supporters of the Castro regime would find it ideologically difficult to object to presenting this simple question to the Cuban people. The only intellectually honest way to protest such a people empowering plebiscite is to argue that people should not have a say in their future and to argue that dictatorships are the preferable form of government. Not many international leaders are willing to publicly state that preference. The Cuba Decide Plebiscite is not a political platform, but rather a tool to initiate change if the Cuban people decide that change is warranted by a “Yes” vote that offers the possibility of alternatives. A “No” vote would legitimize single-party permanent rule. In some ways, the plebiscite idea offers a Cuban leadership of Castro’s successors an elegant and accepted way to change course or, alternatively, to seek to legitimize their single-party rule. As events unfold in post-Castro Cuba, the youth-led Cuba Decide Plebiscite initiative may become a key component of a legitimate transition. Freedom has consequences, not all of them useful, but it is immoral and unjust to deprive people of their freedom as dictators do. Our rational judgment is our basic means of living. If we cannot act in accordance with our free judgment, we cannot live fully as human beings. And we need freedom to act on our judgments. After decades of freedom-less lives under totalitarian rule, the Cuba Decide Plebiscite is a citizen-led initiative fundamentally asking the Cuban people a rational judgment question: Do you want to be free? “Yes” or “No.” Who can possibly object to such a question? The answer should enlighten us all.

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